Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 0.104946 0.163151 0.231793 0.315961 0.414051 0.522825 0.650796
2025-11-16 0.024297 0.079009 0.163563 0.285081 0.442729 0.631287 0.866240
2025-11-23 0.003570 0.044385 0.131369 0.273541 0.471506 0.718880 1.036610
2025-11-30 NaN 0.027797 0.117441 0.281014 0.520858 0.829484 1.233589
2025-12-07 NaN 0.014465 0.099972 0.277219 0.550868 0.912735 1.394763
2025-12-14 NaN 0.004834 0.079395 0.262415 0.561663 0.968715 1.520283
2025-12-21 NaN 0.003210 0.081775 0.287470 0.630304 1.100847 1.741829
2025-12-28 NaN 0.002094 0.084602 0.312990 0.699598 1.234000 1.964996
2026-01-04 NaN 0.000755 0.081829 0.326659 0.750525 1.342351 2.156597
2026-01-11 NaN 0.000666 0.089506 0.361682 0.834559 1.495843 2.406459
2026-01-18 NaN 0.000327 0.092700 0.387293 0.904052 1.629730 2.631401
2026-01-25 NaN NaN 0.084913 0.388607 0.935108 1.710956 2.788473
2026-02-01 NaN NaN 0.063229 0.356404 0.913716 1.722731 2.860177
2026-02-08 NaN NaN 0.043290 0.320719 0.883562 1.720933 2.913789
2026-02-15 NaN NaN 0.034181 0.309122 0.891408 1.770996 3.033942
2026-02-22 NaN NaN 0.031836 0.316909 0.932494 1.868574 3.217206
2026-03-01 NaN NaN 0.026455 0.312911 0.952228 1.935086 3.358971
2026-03-08 NaN NaN 0.018892 0.297100 0.949489 1.968261 3.455708
2026-03-15 NaN NaN 0.021891 0.323827 1.024728 2.115834 3.706431
2026-03-22 NaN NaN 0.025031 0.350976 1.100775 2.264690 3.959044
2026-03-29 NaN NaN 0.025083 0.365492 1.153704 2.379757 4.166380
2026-04-05 NaN NaN 0.030718 0.402613 1.248134 2.555773 4.455839
2026-04-12 NaN NaN 0.033903 0.429699 1.324206 2.704969 4.709379